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Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

Down 41% From Its High With +90% Backlog Growth — Bargain or AI-Peak Bet?

Nov 3, 2026

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5 min read

Down 41% From Its High With +90% Backlog Growth — Bargain or AI-Peak Bet?

A record $17.8B backlog and ~55% upside to target — but it just fell 9% on a blowout quarter. Here's the honest math.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

The Tiny AI-Power Supplier the Street Loves

Nov 2, 2026

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4 min read

The Tiny AI-Power Supplier the Street Loves

Record bookings, +23% sales, 40% gross margins — and ~50% upside to target. But it's no breakout, and it's not cheap.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

30% Growth, 11% Yield, and a Stock the Market Still Won't Touch

Oct 30, 2026

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5 min read

30% Growth, 11% Yield, and a Stock the Market Still Won't Touch

It screens at ~2.5x earnings with an 11% yield — but it's a Chinese ADR at new lows. Here's the honest risk.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

A Megacap at 19x Forward Earnings — With One Big Question Hanging Over It

Oct 29, 2026

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5 min read

A Megacap at 19x Forward Earnings — With One Big Question Hanging Over It

Record revenue, 34% margins, a $25B buyback — and a stock the market still won't trust. Here's the honest breakdown.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

A 4x P/E Cash Machine — or Peak-Cycle Earnings About to Roll Over?

Oct 28, 2026

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5 min read

A 4x P/E Cash Machine — or Peak-Cycle Earnings About to Roll Over?

A niche island-refiner moat that prints cash at ~4x earnings — but Q2 was a peak, and the next print lands in days.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

Every Car and Factory Runs on These Chips — at 39x Earnings

Oct 27, 2026

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5 min read

Every Car and Factory Runs on These Chips — at 39x Earnings

The analog chip king just posted a blowout quarter — but after nearly doubling, how much upside is left?

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

94% Recurring Revenue, Zero Debt, 32% Profit Growth — What's the Catch?

Oct 26, 2026

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4 min read

94% Recurring Revenue, Zero Debt, 32% Profit Growth — What's the Catch?

The "digital tollbooth" of global trade is an elite compounder — but it's priced like one, near all-time highs.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

A Record Year, 20+ Years of Dividend Hikes — But Is the "Bargain" Real?

Oct 23, 2026

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5 min read

A Record Year, 20+ Years of Dividend Hikes — But Is the "Bargain" Real?

A family-run $1B mineral compounder with a real moat and record sales — and an honest look at whether it's actually cheap.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

Doubling Financials, Hard Assets, Deep Contracts — Why's It Still Cheap?

Oct 22, 2026

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5 min read

Doubling Financials, Hard Assets, Deep Contracts — Why's It Still Cheap?

A scarce-asset offshore-wind pure-play with doubling revenue and a €2.5B backlog — and the sector catch behind the discount.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

A $260B Defense Giant Just Raised Guidance Again — The Honest Upside Math

Oct 21, 2026

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5 min read

A $260B Defense Giant Just Raised Guidance Again — The Honest Upside Math

Record $340B backlog, EPS +33%, ~18% upside to target — and why a premium valuation near the highs is the catch.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

The $1.6B Chip "Tollbooth" at 10x Earnings

Oct 20, 2026

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4 min read

The $1.6B Chip "Tollbooth" at 10x Earnings

A cheap, debt-free photomask maker 45%+ below analyst targets — and the cash-pile fine print worth reading first.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

Stock Breakdown

The Picks-and-Shovels Play on AI Power

Oct 19, 2026

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4 min read

The Picks-and-Shovels Play on AI Power

Record $53B backlog, 41% growth, ~21% upside to target — and the valuation catch, with earnings 10 days out.

Mike Rosewelt
Mike Rosewelt

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